Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Outline of FX Fix Reforms is Clearer

The recommendations of the Financial Stability Board last week regarding changes to the WM Reuters fix will be presented at the G20 meeting in November.  These include extending the fix window (they support a move from from 1 minute to 5, but want the WM Reuters company to set the period), making prices transparent and appropriate for the risk borne (meaning that banks should be paid for fix trades, unlike past practice) and codes of conduct and internal guidelines should be more explicit.

While fully agreeing with all of the above, we see the two remaining major recommendation as problematic.  First is the recommendation that "banks establish ... separate processes for handling such orders".  Handling fix trades separately from other fx trades will be costly, probably causing some smaller players to eliminate their participation in the fix.  An article from FX Week (subscription or free trial) refers to banks considering the possibility of creating sealed trading rooms, away from other fx traders and order flow.   While it is unclear how seriously this is being looked at, such a possibility appears a bit absurd to us, as enforcing more explicit codes of conduct and internal guidelines as already suggested, should improve the outcome without the costs or need for quarantined traders.

The other problematic recommendation of the FSB is "the development of industry-led initiatives to create independent netting and execution facilities for transacting fix orders". While a longer term recommendation, this continues on the path of much higher cost and uncertain outcome.  Just to mention one issue, commonsense dictates that the largest incentive for manipulating rates is when there is a large discrepancy between buy and sell orders for a currency pair.  At such times, the only way to clear these separate trades is to trade with the rest of the market, the same traders that this recommendation is trying to avoid.

All in all, we approve of the recommendations as promoting that which Financial PESTs stands for - ethics, simplicity and transparency, albeit with the two exceptions discussed which require additional scrutiny before any implementation.

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